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BTC's normal week: 8%, like Tesla. 40 of 43 coins got calmer

A 4 hour candlestick chart of the AKEUSDT perpetual from 27 June to 12 July 2026, with no indicators. An orange rectangle shades the week of 6 to 12 July. A white caption reads: AKE, 4 hour candles, 27 Jun to 12 Jul 2026. Shaded: 6 to 12 July, a normal week for AKE. A large orange headline reads: A normal AKE week: 47.9%. A text box asks how far a coin moves in a normal week, high to low, over 50 Bybit coins and the last year: Bitcoin 8.1%, ETH 12.0%, SOL 13.5%; the typical coin 17.5%; AKE, the widest, 45.0%; 48 of the 50 move over 10% in a typical week, 17 of them over 20%; a year earlier, 40 of 43 coins moved more; for scale, Tesla 8.0%, gold 5.1%, SPX 2.2%.
AKE on the 4 hour chart, the week of 6 July 2026: a 47.9% range, a normal week for the widest of the 50 coins.

How far does a coin move in an ordinary week? We measured the 50 most traded crypto perpetuals on Bybit over the last 52 weeks, from each week’s high to its low, so you know what normal looks like for the coin you hold. It’s the same measurement we ran on gold, silver and copper, and on the big US tech stocks. Every coin is in the table below.

What we measured

Bybit daily candles, weeks Monday to Sunday UTC, the 52 weeks starting 13 October 2025 to 5 October 2026. A week’s range is its high minus its low, as a percent of where it opened. The median is the normal week: half the weeks moved more, half less. The year before (weeks from 14 October 2024) is printed beside it, never mixed in, for the 43 coins listed long enough. The rules were written down before the run.

A normal week

The calmest six were Bitcoin at 8.1%, BNB at 9.0%, Litecoin at 11.0%, Ethereum at 12.0%, XRP at 12.3% and Bitcoin Cash at 12.9%. Solana’s normal week was 13.5%, and the median coin’s 17.5%.

The widest were AKE at 45.0%, USELESS at 36.4%, FARTCOIN at 28.2%, XPL at 27.3% and VVV at 26.6%. 48 of the 50 moved more than 10% in a normal week, and 17 moved more than 20%.

For scale, from the same measurement: Tesla’s normal week was 8.0%, gold’s 5.1% and the S&P 500’s 2.2%. So Bitcoin moves like Tesla, and the median coin moves about twice as far as either.

CoinMedian weekly range (%)One week in ten, at least (%)Weeks over 10% (of 52)Weeks over 20% (of 52)Median close vs open (%)Times Bitcoin’sBiggest weekIts range (%)Its close vs open (%)The year before: median range (%)
BTC8.113.91733.71.017 Aug 202626.8+23.68.6
BNB9.019.01943.21.12 Feb 202628.2-15.710.3
LTC11.022.32964.31.43 Nov 202534.3+11.016.0
ETH12.019.43254.11.517 Aug 202636.1+31.315.2
XRP12.321.53265.21.517 Aug 202671.7+53.116.6
BCH12.924.434115.61.617 Aug 202650.9+34.415.4
QNT13.124.438115.11.621 Sep 2026484.6+346.617.2
SOL13.522.63674.41.72 Feb 202638.5-13.717.1
HBAR13.624.538146.91.728 Sep 202638.6+8.520.3
DOGE13.923.63996.01.717 Aug 202645.2+34.322.1
AVAX14.122.541105.11.714 Sep 202659.1+55.321.8
XLM14.226.240106.91.725 May 2026103.1+76.119.9
LINK14.323.63995.21.817 Aug 202635.0+22.919.9
LSK14.640.842185.21.87 Sep 20262597.5+663.917.5
DOT15.127.645165.31.917 Aug 202640.9+22.417.5
XMR15.334.443134.61.912 Jan 202644.4+2.112.1
AAVE15.630.847178.21.917 Aug 202669.2+64.522.3
TRUMP15.634.147156.41.917 Aug 2026165.0+87.6
RLC15.629.147145.61.95 Oct 2026312.5+185.920.3
ADA15.823.444167.02.017 Aug 202650.2+29.919.4
SAND16.134.142176.62.028 Sep 202693.8+67.419.6
HYPE16.429.146186.12.026 Jan 202658.7+37.726.8
APT16.732.9481710.12.114 Sep 202644.7+25.820.1
FIL17.235.346205.42.13 Nov 2025161.4+67.018.1
ONDO17.434.448228.62.14 May 202670.5+47.522.4
NEAR17.538.049217.62.214 Sep 202688.4+81.422.4
SUI17.932.443206.52.24 May 202654.5+44.921.8
ARB18.431.950248.52.331 Aug 2026146.7+125.025.3
1000PEPE18.431.349237.62.329 Dec 202578.8+71.725.1
OP18.534.750238.72.317 Aug 202651.3+34.423.3
UNI19.040.346228.82.310 Nov 202557.3+9.222.2
STRK19.353.4492410.12.45 Oct 2026135.0+109.723.4
INJ19.636.950236.62.414 Sep 202654.2+31.924.2
TAO20.135.947268.22.59 Mar 202661.9+56.024.4
TIA20.836.650277.22.613 Apr 202653.9+26.823.9
DASH21.058.3482810.12.612 Jan 2026160.7+112.116.0
WLD21.038.749319.72.61 Jun 202680.8+34.727.2
ZRO21.238.5513010.22.617 Aug 202672.9+56.726.2
PENGU21.635.951319.72.717 Aug 202676.2+67.229.9
MOVR22.143.150298.92.713 Apr 2026279.4+64.523.6
PUMPFUN23.137.952358.72.917 Aug 2026104.8+96.1
AERO23.536.650348.22.915 Jun 202649.0+35.124.1
ENA23.740.4523510.62.917 Aug 2026124.3+96.329.7
ZEC25.857.6513914.53.23 Nov 202594.1+47.421.8
BR26.591.652448.23.316 Mar 2026380.5+105.4
VVV26.651.7523911.13.39 Feb 2026157.6+147.9
XPL27.347.1513913.73.430 Mar 202692.1+40.6
FARTCOIN28.247.5523710.03.524 Nov 202574.1+36.540.2
USELESS36.461.0524911.44.531 Aug 2026370.7+216.6
AKE45.0147.0524515.55.614 Sep 20261127.6+292.0

Bitcoin moved more than 10% in 17 weeks of the 52 and more than 20% in 3. Ethereum: 32 and 5. Solana: 36 and 7. AKE moved more than 20% in 45 of the 52.

Where a week closed is a smaller number than how far it travelled. Bitcoin’s median close-to-open move was 3.7%.

The same table for metals is in our post on gold, silver and copper, and for the big tech stocks in our post on big tech’s normal week, measured the same way.

Normal changes

40 of the 43 coins we could measure the year before were calmer this year. On those coins the median went from 21.8% to 16.7%. Bitcoin went from 8.6% to 8.1% and Ethereum from 15.2% to 12.0%. The three that got wilder were the three privacy coins: Zcash from 21.8% to 25.8%, Monero from 12.1% to 15.3% and Dash from 16.0% to 21.0%.

The biggest week

For Bitcoin and 14 of the others it was the same week, the week of 17 August 2026. Bitcoin’s range that week was 26.8% and it closed 23.6% higher. Ethereum’s was 36.1%, closing 31.3% higher. News reports tied the rally to a US Treasury plan to buy back more long-term bonds and to money returning to the spot Bitcoin ETFs.

The chart: AKE, the week of 6 July 2026

AKE has the widest normal week of the 50. The chart shades an ordinary week for it, picked by a rule we set before looking: its most recent week within 10% of its median. AKE opened the week at 0.000301 and made its high of 0.0003179 on Monday. It fell 27% in one 4 hour candle on Tuesday morning, reached 0.0001738 on Friday and closed the week at 0.0001931: a 47.9% range, down 35.8%. For AKE, that was a normal week.

How to check it on your own chart

  1. Open your coin on a daily chart and take one week, Monday to Sunday UTC.
  2. Take the week’s high minus its low and divide by the week’s open.
  3. Compare it with the table: about 8% is a normal week for Bitcoin, 12% for Ethereum and 17.5% for the median coin.
  4. A stop that sits inside a normal week’s range is one a normal week can reach.

What this does not tell you

What next week will do, or which way. It’s one year on one exchange, and a median says what usually happens, not what the unusual weeks do. Seven of the 50 weren’t listed long enough for the year before, so their cells in that column are empty.

What it’s good for is knowing the size of an ordinary week for the coin you hold.

Observations, not recommendations.

We’re Signal Pilot Labs. We build the Elite Seven, seven indicators for TradingView, and we post what we measure, including the parts that didn’t work.

See what we build at signalpilot.io.


Past measurement described after the fact. Nothing here is a recommendation or an indication of future results.