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How far does your coin dip before a move works? We measured 50.

A 4 hour candlestick chart of the SOLUSDT perpetual from 20 to 26 September 2026. A dotted grey line marks an entry at 116.25 on 22 September, a green line the 2 ATR target at 120.73, two red dashed lines a 1 ATR stop at 114.01 and a 1.5 ATR stop at 112.89, and an orange dashed line 1.75 ATR below the entry at 112.33. Price falls through both red lines on 23 September, makes its low at 112.42 on 24 September just above the orange line, then rises through the green line on 25 September. A text box gives the measurement and the 80% marks for six coins.
SOL on the 4 hour chart, 20 to 26 September 2026: one entry from the measurement, the two stops it hit, the one that held, and the target it reached.

Before a long trade works, it usually goes against you first. Where you put the stop decides whether you’re still in when it does. So we measured how far the move goes against you first, on the 50 most traded crypto coins on Bybit, over a full year of 4 hour bars.

The short answer: measured in ATR, every coin behaves about the same. Measured in percent, they’re miles apart, from 2.3% on Bitcoin to 11.7% on AKE.

How it was measured

Every 4 hour close from 12 October 2025 to 12 October 2026 was treated as a long entry, with no signal and no filter: 2,160 entries per coin. An entry counted as having worked if price reached 2 ATR above it within the next 5 days. For every entry that worked, we measured how far price dipped below the entry before it got there, in ATR and in percent of price.

The coins are the 50 most traded crypto perpetual futures on Bybit from 11 September to 10 October 2026, each listed for the whole year. Contracts Bybit classifies as stocks, ETFs, commodities or forex pairs were left out, and so were the gold tokens.

In ATR, every coin is alike

80% of the entries that worked dipped less than somewhere between 1.4 and 2.2 ATR first, on every one of the 50 coins. The median across the 50 was 1.74 ATR.

That makes the cost of a tight stop easy to state. A stop 1 ATR below the entry would have closed 41% of the trades that went on to work. At 1.5 ATR it closed 25%, and at 2 ATR 15%. Those are medians across the 50 coins, and the spread is narrow: on every one of them, a 1 ATR stop closed between 35% and 46% of the trades that later worked.

In percent, they are miles apart

ATR is a coin’s typical range, so the same ATR distance is a very different percentage from coin to coin. The table gives each coin’s 80% mark in both units, from the calmest coin to the widest.

Coin80% of winners dipped less than (%)The same, in ATRClosed by a 1 ATR stop (%)
BNB2.31.7942
BTC2.31.7340
ETH2.81.6136
LTC2.91.7640
XRP3.11.6842
SOL3.41.7540
LINK3.51.6641
BCH3.61.7045
DOGE3.71.8142
HBAR3.71.8443
XLM3.91.7742
XMR4.01.6339
QNT4.01.8745
AVAX4.11.8344
ADA4.21.7341
UNI4.31.6341
AAVE4.31.6236
HYPE4.31.5435
TRUMP4.41.7040
LSK4.41.7839
SUI4.41.8041
RLC4.51.9644
ONDO4.51.7540
1000PEPE4.61.7240
APT4.61.8143
DOT4.82.1046
ARB4.81.7244
NEAR4.81.7038
INJ4.81.6840
SAND4.91.9344
PENGU5.01.6938
TAO5.11.7738
OP5.11.9344
TIA5.21.8143
AERO5.31.6740
STRK5.51.8245
ENA5.51.7041
FIL5.52.2344
DASH5.61.6339
ZRO5.61.6737
WLD5.81.8041
ZEC6.11.5736
MOVR6.11.7741
PUMPFUN6.31.5738
FARTCOIN6.41.4436
VVV6.91.7038
XPL7.41.8143
USELESS8.61.5236
BR8.61.7842
AKE11.71.7640

Bitcoin needed 2.3% of room. AKE needed 11.7%. One percentage stop used on every coin is too tight on the volatile ones, where it cuts trades that would have worked, and looser than it needs to be on the calm ones.

One trade on the chart

SOL, 4 hour chart, 22 September 2026. The 04:00 UTC bar closed at 116.25, with ATR at 2.24. On 23 September at 12:00 UTC price fell through a 1 ATR stop at 114.01 and a 1.5 ATR stop at 112.89 in the same bar. The low came the next day at 08:00 UTC, 112.42, a dip of 1.71 ATR or 3.3%, about SOL’s own 80% mark. A stop at 1.75 ATR held. On 25 September at 08:00 UTC price reached the 2 ATR target at 120.73.

How to use it

  1. Set the stop in ATR, not in percent. ATR is the unit in which these coins behave alike.
  2. Look up your coin in the table to see what that distance means in percent.
  3. Size the position from the stop distance. A wider stop then means a smaller position, and the same money at risk.

What this does not tell you

It describes the trades that worked. It doesn’t say which entries work, and a wider stop doesn’t make an entry better: on the trades that fail, it loses more per unit of size, which is what step 3 is for. The 2 ATR target and the 5 day limit are one definition among many, and the measurement is long only. It’s one year of data on one exchange. A dip on the bar that reached the target is counted in full, because the order of moves inside a 4 hour bar is unknown, so the numbers lean wide rather than narrow.

Observations, not recommendations.

We’re Signal Pilot Labs. We build the Elite Seven, seven indicators for TradingView, and we post what we measure, including numbers you can check against your own coin.

See what we build at signalpilot.io.


Past measurement described after the fact. Nothing here is a recommendation or an indication of future results.